¿Se ha dormido en los laureles el ejército judío?
Los temas bélicos deben volver al primer plano del debate político dada la actual agresión yijadista de los musulmanes, pues uno de los desenlaces probables del incremento de la población musulmana en Europa será una guerra que, según Fjordman, prodría ser la primera Guerra Civil Mundial.
En este caso os propongo la lectura de una entrevista que leí en el blog en Lawrence de Eurabia: Has the jew state lost its leading edge and stamina?
Por si no teneis tiempo os recorto as principales ideas:
1.- Este es el problema estratégico básico:
“If Israel does not change its security policy from the foundations up, it is liable to lose the next war.”
… Israel is Gulliver in a lilliputian body.”
Israel’s strength is compressed into a very small area. Israel’s dimensions are tiny and its borders are impossible. And size does make a difference. In questions of modern national security, size counts. In the era of precision weapons the importance of territory does not decrease but increase. And Israel has almost no territory. Israel has no strategic depth. That is an Achilles heel that is liable to put its very existence at risk.”
“In the Second World War it was possible to operate an airfield 10 kilometers from the front. In the Yom Kippur War it was possible to operate an airfield 30 kilometers from the front. Today you need a distance of 50 kilometers to operate an airfield. Israel does not have any airfield like that. All our airfields and our air control units and the power stations and the sensitive strategic sites are within a few dozen kilometers of the border. As such, they are vulnerable to surface-to-surface missiles and to long-range rockets (…). If we do not change our security concept and our force-building principles, we are liable to lose in a war.”
2.- Estas son las soluciones propuestas:
“I have two main proposals: to accord Israel maritime strategic depth by its transformation into a sea power and to accord Israel firepower that is not dependent on airfields and planes but is based on tactical missiles that are cheap and precise.
“If we do this, if we turn the whole eastern basin of the Mediterranean into an area under Israeli military control, and if we maintain in it vessels that will become Israel’s maritime fire bases, we will thus replace the old and fragile pillar of the Air Force with a new and alternative and strong pillar that is capable of creating firepower of thousands of missiles that are fired from the sea and are not dependent on vulnerable, exposed airfields.”
3.- Los enemigos de Israel. Un Egipto “que no es lo que parece”:
Egypt: Not what it seems
“I see an existential conventional threat based on the formation of two military alliances directed against us: an Egyptian-Saudi alliance in the south and a Syrian-Iranian alliance in the north. I am especially concerned about Egypt. I think that there is a concrete danger that Israel fell asleep and that when it wakes up it will find itself facing a very tough Egyptian military challenge.”
… a vast army is being built in Egypt. Egypt faces no threats and has no active border disputes and no resources but is investing billions in creating an army that has absolute dominance in the Arab world and in Africa. (…) an additional process has developed in the past 10 years.
“Since the mid-1990s, Egyptian doctrine, Egyptian indoctrination and Egyptian training exercises have been directed against Israel. Since the start of this century Egypt has also invested billions in relocating its military infrastructures so they are opposite Israel. (…) Egypt is preparing for war.
A future military confrontation with Israel exists in the Egyptian national consciousness and in the consciousness of the Egyptian security forces, and that is what Egyptian strategic planning is leading toward.
La paz solo está asegurada cuando el enemigo ha sido derrotado también moralmente. Por lo que nos dicen no es el caso de Egipto.
4.- El otro gran enemigo es Irán. Se trata de la amenaza nuclear, y se avisa quee sta vez no le sacarán a Europa las castañas del fuego:
Can Israel accept a nuclear Iran?
“No. You have to understand that Iran is not North Korea. It does not intend to maintain three or four bombs in the basement. Iran intends to manufacture 54,000 centrifuges to enrich uranium and place them in a vast facility at Kashan. Those 54,000 centrifuges can produce 20 to 25 nuclear bombs a year. The Iranians do not aspire to be a regional power. They aspire to be a world power. If Iran crosses the threshold, it will become a power on the scale of China or of Britain and France.”
I see a world power in its infancy. I see a monster under construction. If Iran is not curbed, it will have dozens of nuclear warheads within a decade. Maybe even a hundred. It will have the ability to launch them at every relevant point in the world.”
Can that giant still be stopped? Isn’t it too late?
“It’s still possible to prevent Iran from going nuclear. There are two ways to do this: either the Iranians disarm or the Iranians are disarmed by force. The Americans are still capable of using air power to strike at Iran’s nuclear network in a way that will set it back by at least 10 years.”
And Israel?
“We must not send the message to the world that Israel can be relied on to solve the problem. This is a terrible threat, not only to Israel but to the countries of Europe and to the United States. I don’t want anyone in those countries to delude himself into thinking that he is exempt because Israel will repeat what it did in Iraq.”
How much time is there?
“None.”
But for the past 10 years we have been told that we have another five years.
“We’re in the home stretch. If a massive military operation against Iran is mounted, it will be between this point of time, of April 2006, and the end of 2007.”
¡Cuánto se echan de menos unas palabras similares del Ministro de Defensa de España! Aunque sueño despierto, ni tiene capacidad para ello ni, lo que es peor, intención.
